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Geo-Strategy: Predicting the Future

Geo-Strategy #4: Saudi Arabia's Trump Card Against Iran

Jiang Xue QinJiang Xue QinApr 16, 2026

In January 2020, President Donald Trump ordered the assassination of Qassem Soleimani, Iran's second most powerful figure, a decision that reportedly stunned the US military establishment. Generals George W. Bush and Barack Obama had previously refrained from similar actions, fearing it could spark World War III. This extraordinary move highlights a dangerous confluence of forces pushing the United States towards a potential conflict with Iran, driven by a powerful domestic lobby, the imperatives of American imperial power, and the desperate strategic demands of Saudi Arabia. The question remains whether these persistent pressures will culminate in a full-scale invasion, especially with the prospect of a second Trump term.

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